Dangerous Sex Offenders: Recidivism Rates and Risk Characteristics

Dr Michael Rowlands1, Dr Gavan Palk, Professor Ross Young

1Monash University, Melbourne, Australia

The current study examined case files of 104 sex offenders considered dangerous by the Queensland Supreme Court.  A review of the literature noted that sex offenders generally have low recidivism rates.  Analysis of Kaplan-Meier survival curves found that the high-risk group is more likely to re-offend generally (not sexual or nonsexual violence), as approximately 70% had reoffended within six years.  This suggests that some sex offenders can be assessed as an actual risk to the community depending on their characteristics. Cox Regression analyses identified factors that place the offenders more at risk of reoffending.


Dr. Rowlands is a forensic researcher with over 7 years’ experience working with criminal populations.  He specialises in assessing risk of sexual violence.  Dr. Rowlands leads of a team of researchers in the forensic domain, and coordinates/teaches in neuroscience and the application of psychology in the 21st century.

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